SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.17%) and 2-3 (4.73%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
36.86% ( 0.06) | 21.32% ( 0.16) | 41.82% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 71.98% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.75% ( -0.81) | 27.25% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.2% ( -1.03) | 47.8% ( 1.03) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( -0.34) | 16.1% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.5% ( -0.62) | 45.5% ( 0.62) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( -0.41) | 14.2% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.07% ( -0.8) | 41.93% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 36.86% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.08)0-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.71% Total : 41.82% |
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