SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.13%) and 3-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
49.6% ( -0.08) | 20.51% ( 0.01) | 29.89% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 72.17% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.1% ( -0.01) | 25.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.92% ( -0.01) | 46.07% ( 0.01) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.75% ( -0.02) | 11.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.17% ( -0.05) | 35.83% ( 0.05) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( 0.03) | 18.68% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% ( 0.05) | 50.02% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 4.25% Total : 49.6% | 1-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 29.89% |
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