SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
45.38% ( 0.07) | 26.66% ( -0.08) | 27.95% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.24% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% ( 0.3) | 55.25% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% ( 0.25) | 76.48% ( -0.25) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( 0.17) | 24.27% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.37% ( 0.24) | 58.63% ( -0.24) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% ( 0.16) | 34.98% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.27% ( 0.17) | 71.73% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 27.95% |
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