SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Everton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Everton.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Everton |
35.78% ( 0.05) | 25.33% ( -0.02) | 38.89% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( 0.07) | 47.25% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( 0.06) | 69.48% ( -0.07) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( 0.06) | 25.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.41% ( 0.08) | 60.59% ( -0.09) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.01) | 23.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( 0.01) | 58.23% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 35.78% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.89% |
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