Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Everton had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
-1.04) 
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