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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
City Ground
EL

Nott'm Forest
2 - 2
Everton

Johnson (19', 77')
Gibbs-White (51'), Lodi (55'), Felipe (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gray (10' pen.), Doucoure (29')
Godfrey (42'), McNeil (52'), Gray (56'), Tarkowski (57'), Davies (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Everton
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Everton had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawEverton
45.32% (-1.036 -1.04) 27.28% (0.414 0.41) 27.4% (0.618 0.62)
Both teams to score 47.11% (-0.739 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.2% (-1.162 -1.16)57.8% (1.158 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.47% (-0.927 -0.93)78.53% (0.923 0.92)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-1.028 -1.03)25.44% (1.023 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-1.423 -1.42)60.26% (1.418 1.42)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.19% (-0.122 -0.12)36.81% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.4% (-0.123 -0.12)73.6% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 45.31%
    Everton 27.4%
    Draw 27.28%
Nottingham ForestDrawEverton
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.195 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.405 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.377 0.38)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 27.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 4-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Man City
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Leeds
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Everton
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Everton
Monday, February 13 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Everton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League


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