SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Ipswich Town |
49.72% ( -0.12) | 23.91% | 26.37% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.62% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( 0.09) | 44.99% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.09) | 67.35% ( -0.09) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( -0.02) | 18.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.83% ( -0.02) | 49.17% ( 0.02) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( 0.14) | 30.79% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% ( 0.17) | 67.07% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 49.72% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 26.37% |
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