SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Everton |
60.73% ( 0.07) | 20.52% ( 0.06) | 18.74% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.86% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.46% ( -0.48) | 38.53% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.17% ( -0.51) | 60.83% ( 0.51) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.7% ( -0.13) | 12.3% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.93% ( -0.27) | 38.06% ( 0.27) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% ( -0.42) | 34.02% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.29% ( -0.46) | 70.7% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.92% Total : 60.73% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.52% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.74% |
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