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League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
WW

Exeter
1 - 0
Wycombe

Cox (65')
Rankine (7'), Caldwell (8'), Diabate (45+1'), Aitchison (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vincent-Young (50'), Sadlier (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Exeter
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Wycombe Wanderers

Both these sides come into this match having failed to win a single league game in over two months. This is a very even contest on paper, and while both teams are likely to go all out for the win, we feel they will end up sharing the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawWycombe Wanderers
37.09% (1.746 1.75) 25.66% (0.383 0.38) 37.25% (-2.128 -2.13)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-1.206 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (-1.606 -1.61)48.66% (1.608 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-1.48 -1.48)70.77% (1.482 1.48)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.241 0.24)25.6% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (0.328 0.33)60.48% (-0.326 -0.33)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (-1.867 -1.87)25.51% (1.869 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.64% (-2.622 -2.62)60.36% (2.624 2.62)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 37.09%
    Wycombe Wanderers 37.25%
    Draw 25.65%
Exeter CityDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.631 0.63)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.215 0.22)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.469 0.47)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.422 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-2 @ 6.09% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.352 -0.35)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.279 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Exeter
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 7-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Wycombe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 3-2 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 0-2 Morecambe
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One


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