Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
-0.51) 
0.52) 
