SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
66.82% ( 0.25) | 19.54% ( -0.12) | 13.64% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( 0.22) | 43.89% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( 0.22) | 66.28% ( -0.22) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.79% ( 0.14) | 12.21% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.11% ( 0.28) | 37.89% ( -0.29) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.3% ( -0.05) | 43.7% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.12% ( -0.05) | 79.88% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 2-0 @ 11.79% 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 66.81% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.54% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 13.64% |
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