SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Exeter City |
44.81% ( -0.01) | 22.53% ( 0.01) | 32.66% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.92% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.4% ( -0.08) | 34.6% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.45% ( -0.09) | 56.54% ( 0.08) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% ( -0.03) | 16.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.59% ( -0.06) | 45.4% ( 0.06) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% ( -0.04) | 21.48% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.48% ( -0.06) | 54.52% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 32.66% |
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