SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.48%) and 1-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (12.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
32.13% ( -0.33) | 30.19% ( 0.04) | 37.68% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 41.39% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.14% ( -0.16) | 65.86% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.51% ( -0.11) | 84.49% ( 0.11) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.45% ( -0.34) | 37.54% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.67% ( -0.33) | 74.32% ( 0.33) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( 0.1) | 33.72% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( 0.11) | 70.38% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.74% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.18% | 0-1 @ 13.76% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.68% |
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