SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Fakel |
53.58% ( 0.07) | 23.68% ( -0.01) | 22.74% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( -0.01) | 47.36% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.42% ( -0.01) | 69.58% ( 0) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.02) | 17.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% ( 0.04) | 48.18% ( -0.04) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.06) | 35.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.1% ( -0.06) | 71.9% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.64% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 22.74% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
