Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
Result | ||
CSKA Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
64.31% (![]() | 21.45% (![]() | 14.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.36% (![]() | 50.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.45% (![]() | 72.54% (![]() |
CSKA Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.93% (![]() | 15.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.41% (![]() | 43.58% (![]() |
Fakel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.03% (![]() | 46.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.54% (![]() | 82.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
CSKA Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
1-0 @ 13.39% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.67% 2-1 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.1% Total : 64.3% | 1-1 @ 10.12% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.62% ( ![]() Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.45% | 0-1 @ 5.35% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.17% Total : 14.24% |
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