SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Orenburg | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Fakel | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 4 | -8 | 2 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
52.95% ( -0.09) | 24.46% ( 0.04) | 22.59% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( -0.12) | 50.71% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( -0.11) | 72.61% ( 0.11) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( -0.08) | 19.1% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% ( -0.13) | 50.72% ( 0.13) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% ( -0.02) | 37.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.06% ( -0.02) | 73.94% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.94% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.59% |
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