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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Lugano |
28.82% ( -0.49) | 22.3% ( 0.11) | 48.88% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 64.45% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.42% ( -0.88) | 35.58% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.36% ( -0.98) | 57.64% ( 0.98) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -0.75) | 24.21% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( -1.08) | 58.55% ( 1.08) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% ( -0.19) | 14.96% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.61% ( -0.37) | 43.39% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.82% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.3% Total : 48.88% |
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