SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lugano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | FC Winterthur |
52.39% ( -0.21) | 22.15% ( 0.03) | 25.46% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 61.86% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.32% ( 0.01) | 37.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.08% ( 0.01) | 59.92% ( -0) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% ( -0.06) | 14.54% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.42% ( -0.12) | 42.58% ( 0.13) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( 0.14) | 27.62% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( 0.17) | 63.15% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.97% 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.28% Total : 52.39% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.73% Total : 25.46% |
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