SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | St Gallen |
31.66% ( 0.43) | 23.31% ( -0.01) | 45.03% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.1% ( 0.24) | 38.9% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.78% ( 0.25) | 61.21% ( -0.25) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 0.37) | 24.12% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( 0.52) | 58.42% ( -0.52) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( -0.07) | 17.65% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.74% ( -0.12) | 48.26% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.66% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.92% Total : 45.03% |
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