Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	St Gallen
46.15% ( 0.3)	24.54% ( -0.12)	29.3% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 56.79% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.19% (

0.42)

45.81% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.87% (

0.4)

68.13% (

-0.41)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05% (

0.3)

19.95% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9% (

0.48)

52.1% (

-0.49)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94% (

0.09)

29.06% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.02% (

0.11)

64.97% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Lugano 46.15%

St Gallen 29.3%

Draw 24.53%

Lugano	Draw	St Gallen
1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.15%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.3%