SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | St Gallen |
31.01% ( -0.27) | 22.24% ( 0.03) | 46.75% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 66.16% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.05% ( -0.28) | 33.94% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.19% ( -0.32) | 55.8% ( 0.32) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( -0.29) | 22.08% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.56% ( -0.45) | 55.43% ( 0.44) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.9% ( -0.02) | 15.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.37% ( -0.04) | 43.63% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.37% Total : 31.01% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.75% |
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