SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 15.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | FC Winterthur |
66.9% ( -0.01) | 17.38% ( 0) | 15.72% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.26% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.24% ( -0.01) | 28.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.32% ( -0.01) | 49.68% ( 0.01) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.98% ( -0.01) | 8.02% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.75% ( -0.01) | 28.25% ( 0.01) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( -0) | 31.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% | 67.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.97% 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.71% 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.14% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.11% 6-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 4.04% Total : 66.9% | 1-1 @ 7.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.37% Total : 17.38% | 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.1% 0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.07% Total : 15.72% |
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