SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | FC Winterthur |
59.63% ( -0.19) | 20.8% ( 0.08) | 19.56% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.38% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( -0.18) | 38.55% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( -0.19) | 60.84% ( 0.19) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.38% ( -0.11) | 12.61% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.27% ( -0.23) | 38.72% ( 0.23) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( 0.01) | 33.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( 0.01) | 69.8% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.97% 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 59.63% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.8% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 19.56% |
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