SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 81.91%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 6.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.27%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Kayserispor |
81.91% ( -0.87) | 11.54% ( 0.47) | 6.54% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.11% ( -0.84) | 26.89% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.65% ( -1.07) | 47.35% ( 1.07) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.12% ( -0.3) | 4.88% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.39% ( -0.89) | 19.6% ( 0.89) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.12% ( 0.42) | 45.88% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.37% ( 0.32) | 81.63% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 3-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.22)1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.1)Other @ 4.44% Total : 81.9% | 1-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.94% Total : 11.54% | 1-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.75% Total : 6.54% |
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