Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
Result | ||
Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Fenerbahce |
28.16% (![]() | 24.7% (![]() | 47.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.83% (![]() | 47.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.6% (![]() | 69.4% (![]() |
Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.42% (![]() | 30.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.19% (![]() | 66.81% (![]() |
Fenerbahce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.93% (![]() | 20.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.7% (![]() | 52.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Fenerbahce |
1-0 @ 7.27% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.16% | 1-1 @ 11.67% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 9.86% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.38% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.15% |
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