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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 31
Apr 3, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
4 - 2
Adana Demirspor

Djiku (17'), Dzeko (51'), Tadic (70'), Dursun (85')
Oosterwolde (64'), Szymanski (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Balotelli (25'), Barasi (80')
Nani (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 4-1 Sivasspor
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 2-1 Adana Demirspor

Fenerbahce are in great form and have learned how to dig deep in the games they need to. Adana are in good form heading into this clash but we do not think they have enough quality to stop Fener from getting maximum points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 8.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for an Adana Demirspor win it was 1-2 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawAdana Demirspor
77.56% (0.639 0.64) 13.45% (-0.186 -0.19) 8.99% (-0.458 -0.46)
Both teams to score 56.34% (-1.393 -1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.81% (-0.691 -0.69)27.18% (0.686 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.28% (-0.875 -0.88)47.72% (0.87 0.87)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.34% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)5.66% (0.034 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.09% (-0.101 -0.1)21.9% (0.096 0.1)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72% (-1.454 -1.45)40.28% (1.449 1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1% (-1.347 -1.35)76.9% (1.343 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 77.56%
    Adana Demirspor 8.99%
    Draw 13.45%
FenerbahceDrawAdana Demirspor
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.354 0.35)
3-0 @ 9% (0.321 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.54% (0.26 0.26)
4-0 @ 6.46% (0.218 0.22)
4-1 @ 5.88% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.162 -0.16)
5-0 @ 3.71% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 3.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.67% (-0.122 -0.12)
6-0 @ 1.78% (0.052 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.54% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 5.15%
Total : 77.56%
1-1 @ 5.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.28% (0.095 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 13.45%
1-2 @ 2.71% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 2.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 0.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 8.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahce
Sunday, March 17 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-1 Union SG
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-1 Pendikspor
Sunday, March 10 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Union SG 0-3 Fenerbahce
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hatayspor 0-2 Fenerbahce
Saturday, March 2 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Kasimpasa
Saturday, February 24 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 4-1 Sivasspor
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 2-2 Adana Demirspor
Saturday, March 9 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-0 Karagumruk
Monday, March 4 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, February 25 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-3 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, February 18 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-3 Kasimpasa
Friday, February 9 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig


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