SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 11.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Sivasspor |
71.86% ( -0.44) | 16.53% ( 0.32) | 11.61% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.19% ( -1.31) | 34.81% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.22% ( -1.48) | 56.77% ( 1.48) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.5% ( -0.42) | 8.49% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.56% ( -1.04) | 29.44% ( 1.03) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.99% ( -0.71) | 41.01% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.44% ( -0.64) | 77.56% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Sivasspor |
| 2-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.93% Total : 71.85% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.53% | 1-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 11.61% |
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