SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 87.77%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 4.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.37%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
87.77% ( 0.11) | 7.97% ( -0.06) | 4.25% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.25% ( 0.06) | 17.75% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 65.18% ( 0.1) | 34.81% ( -0.1) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.43% ( 0.02) | 2.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.05% ( 0.08) | 11.95% ( -0.08) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.1% ( -0.14) | 44.89% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.15% ( -0.11) | 80.85% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 3-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 6.92% ( 0)5-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)7-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)7-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)6-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)8-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 5.1% Total : 87.77% | 1-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 7.97% | 1-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 4.25% |
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