Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.