Despite a mini bump in the road last time out, Flamengo are in flying form heading into this one and are huge favourites to come out on top. While we expect Fortaleza to put up a good fight, we are tipping the hosts to secure maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Fortaleza
66.51% ( 0.85)	20.15% ( -0.41)	13.34% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 46.63% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.8% (

0.74)

47.19% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.57% (

0.69)

69.42% (

-0.69)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.7% (

0.48)

13.29% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.88% (

0.97)

40.12% (

-0.97)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.78% (

-0.23)

46.22% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.11% (

-0.18)

81.89% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 66.49%

Fortaleza 13.34%

Draw 20.15%

Flamengo	Draw	Fortaleza
2-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 66.49%	1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.15%	0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.17% Total : 13.34%