SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 43%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Flamengo |
43% ( -0.17) | 25.16% ( 0.14) | 31.83% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.02% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( -0.61) | 47.41% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( -0.57) | 69.62% ( 0.56) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( -0.34) | 22.01% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.66% ( -0.52) | 55.33% ( 0.51) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( -0.28) | 28.16% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.15% ( -0.35) | 63.84% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortaleza | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.83% |
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