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Brasileiro | Gameweek 32
Nov 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
F

Fortaleza
0 - 2
Flamengo


Machuca (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedro (45'), Araujo (87')
Maia (41'), Luis (57'), Pulgar (62')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, November 2 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Santos
Wednesday, November 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 43%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawFlamengo
43% (-0.175 -0.17) 25.16% (0.138 0.14) 31.83% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.02% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-0.607 -0.61)47.41% (0.6 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.566 -0.57)69.62% (0.559 0.56)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-0.34100000000001 -0.34)22.01% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (-0.516 -0.52)55.33% (0.508 0.51)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (-0.282 -0.28)28.16% (0.275 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15% (-0.355 -0.35)63.84% (0.349 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 43%
    Flamengo 31.83%
    Draw 25.16%
FortalezaDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, November 2 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 LDU Quito (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 28 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, October 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Santos
Wednesday, November 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-2 Flamengo
Thursday, October 26 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-2 Flamengo
Thursday, October 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, October 8 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Bahia
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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