Expect Fortaleza to play in a tight defensive setup in an attempt to frustrate Flamengo, who have plenty of attacking options to call on. We believe the visitors' overall depth and ability to remain composed away from home will be enough to propel them to another road victory on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Flamengo
24.56% ( -0.11)	27.57% ( -0.09)	47.88% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 44.21% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.57% (

0.23)

60.43% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.44% (

0.18)

80.56% (

-0.17)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.24% (

0.03)

40.76% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.65% (

0.03)

77.34% (

-0.03)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

0.21)

25.37% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.83% (

0.28)

60.17% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 24.56%

Flamengo 47.87%

Draw 27.56%

Fortaleza	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.27% Total : 24.56%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 14.18% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 47.87%