Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%).