Given their respective form, neither team will feel particularly confident about collecting maximum points at the weekend.
Nevertheless, MK Dons have been unable to avoid defeat on their home patch since August, so we think Fleetwood could edge this game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
