SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Flora had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.2%). The likeliest Flora win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flora | Draw | Celje |
38.28% ( 0.12) | 23.39% ( -0.03) | 38.32% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 63.83% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( 0.14) | 37.82% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% ( 0.15) | 60.07% ( -0.16) |
| Flora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% ( 0.12) | 20.11% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.62% ( 0.19) | 52.37% ( -0.2) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( 0.01) | 20.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( 0.03) | 52.34% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flora | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 38.28% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 38.32% |
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