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National League | Gameweek 15
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
EU

Forest Green
3 - 1
Ebbsfleet

McAllister (7'), Robson (47'), Knowles (52')
Knowles (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fonguck (71')
Souare (19')
Coverage of the National League clash between Forest Green Rovers and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 4-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawEbbsfleet
61.07% (4.582 4.58) 21.61% (-1.397 -1.4) 17.32% (-3.181 -3.18)
Both teams to score 51.35% (-1.13 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.2% (1.306 1.31)45.79% (-1.303 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.89% (1.228 1.23)68.11% (-1.225 -1.22)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (1.964 1.96)14.51% (-1.961 -1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (3.659 3.66)42.51% (-3.656 -3.66)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07% (-2.763 -2.76)39.93% (2.765 2.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-2.632 -2.63)76.59% (2.635 2.64)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 61.06%
    Ebbsfleet 17.32%
    Draw 21.6%
Forest Green RoversDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 10.79% (0.833 0.83)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.96 0.96)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.451 0.45)
4-0 @ 3.35% (0.653 0.65)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.406 0.41)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.091 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.321 0.32)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.225 0.23)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 61.06%
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.66 -0.66)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.328 -0.33)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.6%
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.74 -0.74)
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.695 -0.7)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.557 -0.56)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 17.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Braintree
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Forest Green 2-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Forest Green
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 0-2 Forest Green
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 4-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 3-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-2 Rochdale
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Oldham
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Sutton 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League


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