While Juventude will be extremely pleased with the start they have made on their return to the top flight, the vast majority of their good work has been done on their home patch, while they are still looking for their first away win of the campaign.
Fortaleza are unbeaten at home this term and have kept three consecutive clean sheets on their home patch in this month alone. We feel the hosts will edge the result in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
0.74) 
-0.35) 
