Although Fortaleza are yet to win in the league this season, they head into the weekend in high spirits after progressing to the Copa Libertadores knockout rounds.
Juventude, meanwhile, are looking to clinch consecutive away victories, but after losing three of the last four competitive meetings with Fortaleza, we think that the visitors will leave Castelao empty-handed.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.03) 
