Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for an Argentina Under-23s win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France Under-23s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for France Under-23s.
Result | ||
France Under-23s | Draw | Argentina Under-23s |
56.24% ( 0.26) | 24.51% ( -0.04) | 19.25% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 46.11% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.41% ( -0.1) | 54.59% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.07% ( -0.08) | 75.93% ( 0.09) |
France Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.68% ( 0.06) | 19.32% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.92% ( 0.1) | 51.08% ( -0.1) |
Argentina Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.15% ( -0.31) | 42.85% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.84% ( -0.26) | 79.16% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
France Under-23s | Draw | Argentina Under-23s |
1-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 56.23% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 19.25% |
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