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Olympic Games Men's Football | Quarter-Finals
Aug 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Matmut-Atlantique

France U23s
1 - 0
Argentina U23s

Mateta (5')
Mateta (33'), Kone (41'), Restes (77'), Akliouche (88'), Magassa (90+5')
Millot (90+12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Di Cesare (21'), Medina (53'), Mascherano (55'), Beltran (55'), Garcia (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: N Zealand U23s 0-3 France U23s
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
All competitions
Last Game: Ukraine U23s 0-2 Argentina U23s
Tuesday, July 30 at 4pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

We said: France 2-1 Argentina

While France had the luxury of resting some of their top stars in midweek, Argentina's notable names were not afforded such respite due to their volatile group standing, and fatigue may be evident for the South Americans here. A titanic battle can be expected regardless, one where Henry's men ought to lose their perfect defensive record, but the hosts still have our backing to march on to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 19.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for an Argentina Under-23s win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France Under-23s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for France Under-23s.

Result
France Under-23sDrawArgentina Under-23s
56.24% (0.261 0.26) 24.51% (-0.044 -0.04) 19.25% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 46.11% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-0.1 -0.1)54.59% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)75.93% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
France Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (0.063000000000002 0.06)19.32% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.92% (0.101 0.1)51.08% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Argentina Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.15% (-0.305 -0.31)42.85% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (-0.258 -0.26)79.16% (0.262 0.26)
Score Analysis
    France Under-23s 56.23%
    Argentina Under-23s 19.25%
    Draw 24.5%
France Under-23sDrawArgentina Under-23s
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.18% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 56.23%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 19.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: N Zealand U23s 0-3 France U23s
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: France U23s 1-0 Guinea U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 8pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: France U23s 3-0 USA U23s
Wednesday, July 24 at 8pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: France U23s 0-4 Japan U23s
Wednesday, July 28 at 12.30pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: France U23s 4-3 South Africa U23s
Sunday, July 25 at 9am in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Mexico U23s 4-1 France U23s
Thursday, July 22 at 9am in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Ukraine U23s 0-2 Argentina U23s
Tuesday, July 30 at 4pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Argentina U23s 3-1 Iraq U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Argentina U23s 1-2 Morocco U23s
Wednesday, July 24 at 2pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Spain U23s 1-1 Argentina U23s
Wednesday, July 28 at 12pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Egypt U23s 0-1 Argentina U23s
Sunday, July 25 at 8.30am in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Argentina U23s 0-2 Australia U23s
Thursday, July 22 at 11.30am in Olympic Games Men's Football


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