Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand Under-23s win with a probability of 81.74%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for France Under-23s had a probability of 7.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand Under-23s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.27%) and 4-1 (6.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a France Under-23s win it was 1-2 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for France Under-23s in this match.
Result | ||
New Zealand Under-23s | Draw | France Under-23s |
81.74% ( -0.08) | 10.63% ( 0.04) | 7.63% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 64.31% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
83.52% | 16.48% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
67.1% ( -0) | 32.9% ( 0.01) |
New Zealand Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.95% ( -0) | 3.05% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.32% ( -0.03) | 13.68% ( 0.04) |
France Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% ( 0.1) | 33.67% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% ( 0.11) | 70.32% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
New Zealand Under-23s | Draw | France Under-23s |
3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 6-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 6-2 @ 1.53% 7-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 4.77% Total : 81.74% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.43% Total : 10.63% | 1-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 7.63% |
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