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DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
HL

Freiburg
2 - 1
Hamburger SV

Ginter (19'), Grifo (44' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Meffert (51')
Mikelbrencis (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Elversberg 4-2 Hamburger SV
Saturday, October 26 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Hamburger SV

Though Hamburger were rampant in the first round of the DFB-Pokal, it is difficult to see how they can overcome their higher-tier opponents. However, the hosts have been in mixed form of late, and it would not be surprising if their clash against the 2. Bundesliga side was a close affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawHamburger SV
34.45% (0.67 0.67) 23.63% (0.136 0.14) 41.92% (-0.80399999999999 -0.8)
Both teams to score 62.39% (-0.3 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.52% (-0.476 -0.48)39.48% (0.477 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18% (-0.497 -0.5)61.82% (0.498 0.5)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (0.145 0.14)22.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (0.214 0.21)56.52% (-0.213 -0.21)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (-0.541 -0.54)19.18% (0.542 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (-0.9 -0.9)50.85% (0.902 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 34.45%
    Hamburger SV 41.92%
    Draw 23.62%
FreiburgDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.107 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 41.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Elversberg 4-2 Hamburger SV
Saturday, October 26 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Hamburger SV 3-1 Magdeburg
Sunday, October 20 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Dusseldorf 0-3 Hamburger SV
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Hamburger SV 2-2 SC Paderborn
Saturday, September 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-2 Hamburger SV
Saturday, September 21 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Hamburger SV 5-0 Jahn
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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