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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
FL

Heidenheim
0 - 3
Freiburg


Pieringer (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doan (54'), Grifo (59', 65')
Adamu (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Heidenheim
Friday, September 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 1-2 Freiburg

While Heidenheim have begun 2024-25 in excellent form, the fact they have played two additional competitive games this season could mean they come into the clash more fatigued than their opponents. Freiburg have also started the season well, and it would not be a surprise if they left Voith-Arena with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawFreiburg
52.12% (-0.129 -0.13) 23.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 24.53% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (0.011000000000003 0.01)44.07% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)16.93% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.01% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)46.99% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (0.093999999999994 0.09)31.78% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (0.108 0.11)68.21% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 52.12%
    Freiburg 24.53%
    Draw 23.34%
HeidenheimDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 24.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Heidenheim
Friday, September 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 4-0 Augsburg
Sunday, September 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Hacken
Thursday, August 29 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Heidenheim
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hacken 1-2 Heidenheim
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Villingen 0-4 Heidenheim
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Osnabruck 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 3 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 3 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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