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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
VB

Freiburg
2 - 1
VfL Bochum

Adamu (58', 61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boadu (45')
Balde (81'), Kwarteng (82'), Wittek (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 VfL Bochum

Despite a difficult start to the season, Freiburg have performed well in their opening two games of the Bundesliga, and if they perform as well as they did against Stuttgart on Saturday then they should be favourites. Given Bochum's poor away record, it would be surprising if they managed to earn any points at all this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
41.87% (0.395 0.39) 23.14% (0.154 0.15) 34.99% (-0.547 -0.55)
Both teams to score 64.38% (-0.726 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.06% (-0.894 -0.89)36.94% (0.896 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.88% (-0.977 -0.98)59.12% (0.979 0.98)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)18.15% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)49.12% (0.354 0.35)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.687 -0.69)21.35% (0.689 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (-1.073 -1.07)54.31% (1.075 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 41.87%
    VfL Bochum 34.99%
    Draw 23.14%
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.086 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.61% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 41.87%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.167 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Osnabruck 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 3 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 3 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Jahn 1-0 VfL Bochum
Sunday, August 18 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Le Havre 0-6 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Spezia 3-1 VfL Bochum
Tuesday, July 30 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Magdeburg 1-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3


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