Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.01) 
