Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Frosinone in this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Palermo
63.18% ( 0.17)	21.99% ( 0.02)	14.82% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 44.82% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.3% (

-0.4)

51.7% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.52% (

-0.34)

73.47% (

0.35)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21% (

-0.08)

15.79% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.06% (

-0.14)

44.93% (

0.14)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.23% (

-0.51)

46.77% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.69% (

-0.39)

82.31% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 63.18%

Palermo 14.82%

Draw 21.99%

Frosinone	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 63.18%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.99%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.22% Total : 14.82%