Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Frosinone in this match.
0.17) 
-0.19) 
