SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 63.13%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 19.2% and a draw had a probability of 17.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
63.13% ( -0.88) | 17.67% ( 0.15) | 19.2% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 70.02% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.42% ( 0.47) | 23.58% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.96% ( 0.63) | 43.04% ( -0.63) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.6% ( -0.05) | 7.39% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.35% ( -0.11) | 26.65% ( 0.1) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( 0.94) | 24.38% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% ( 1.31) | 58.79% ( -1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.96% Total : 63.13% | 1-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.67% Total : 17.67% | 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.13)0-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.11% Total : 19.2% |
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