SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Brentford |
41.38% ( -1.04) | 25.54% ( 0.12) | 33.08% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 55.21% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( -0.24) | 48.66% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( -0.22) | 70.78% ( 0.22) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( -0.61) | 23.35% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.69% ( -0.9) | 57.31% ( 0.9) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( 0.48) | 27.98% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( 0.6) | 63.61% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.06% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.09% |
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