Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
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