Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 78.25%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 7.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.99%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.