SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Fulham |
50% ( -0.04) | 24.94% ( 0.01) | 25.06% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( -0.03) | 50.43% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( -0.03) | 72.36% ( 0.03) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( -0.03) | 20.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.05) | 52.48% ( 0.04) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.23% ( 0.01) | 34.77% ( -0.01) |
