SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Fulham |
74.93% ( -1.17) | 15.38% ( 0.81) | 9.68% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( -1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.94% ( -3.03) | 35.05% ( 3.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.95% ( -3.45) | 57.05% ( 3.45) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.1% ( -0.93) | 7.89% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.06% ( -2.42) | 27.93% ( 2.42) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.3% ( -1.46) | 44.69% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.31% ( -1.19) | 80.69% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.69) 3-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.2)1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.93)3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.38)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.27)5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.33)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.24)6-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.18)6-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.2)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.95% Total : 74.93% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.52)Other @ 0.95% Total : 15.38% | 1-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.8% Total : 9.68% |
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